SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 73.8%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 9.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.21%) and 0-3 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Motherwell win it was 1-0 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Rangers |
9.57% ( 0.35) | 16.64% ( 0.04) | 73.8% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 45.66% ( 1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.4% ( 0.93) | 41.6% ( -0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36% ( 0.93) | 64% ( -0.92) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.6% ( 1.35) | 49.4% ( -1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.77% ( 0.93) | 84.24% ( -0.92) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.24% ( 0.15) | 9.76% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.53% ( 0.34) | 32.47% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.18% Total : 9.57% | 1-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.66% Total : 16.64% | 0-2 @ 13.05% ( -0.38) 0-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.4)0-3 @ 10.12% ( -0.23)1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 7.14% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 5.89% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 4.15% ( 0.09)0-5 @ 2.74% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.14)1-5 @ 1.93% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.09)0-6 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 73.78% |
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