SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 57.86%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 21.5% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.9%) and 1-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Rangers |
57.86% ( 0.02) | 20.64% | 21.5% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.25% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.07% ( -0.02) | 34.92% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.09% ( -0.02) | 56.9% ( 0.02) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.03% | 11.97% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.62% ( -0) | 37.37% ( 0) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% ( -0.03) | 29.28% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.76% ( -0.04) | 65.24% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.64% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 57.86% | 1-1 @ 9.14% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.64% | 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.3% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.64% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 21.5% |
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