SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Ross County win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ross County | Draw | St Mirren |
32.06% ( -0.17) | 26.58% ( 0.02) | 41.36% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.5% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.7% ( -0.11) | 53.3% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.15% ( -0.1) | 74.85% ( 0.1) |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.05% ( -0.17) | 30.95% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.75% ( -0.2) | 67.25% ( 0.21) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.58% ( 0.03) | 25.42% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.76% ( 0.04) | 60.24% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ross County | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.06% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.35% |
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