SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 19.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | St Mirren |
56.52% ( 0.17) | 23.73% ( 0.01) | 19.75% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 49.11% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49% ( -0.26) | 51% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.13% ( -0.23) | 72.86% ( 0.23) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.14% ( -0.03) | 17.86% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.37% ( -0.05) | 48.63% ( 0.06) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.79% ( -0.35) | 40.21% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.16% ( -0.32) | 76.84% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 56.51% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.28% Total : 19.75% |
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