SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Ayr United |
51.4% ( -0.02) | 24.48% ( 0) | 24.12% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.55% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.67% ( 0.01) | 49.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.62% ( 0) | 71.37% ( -0) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.82% ( -0.01) | 19.18% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.14% ( -0.01) | 50.85% ( 0.01) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.02% ( 0.02) | 34.98% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.27% ( 0.02) | 71.72% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.05% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.47% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.12% |
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