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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 24
Jan 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
SM

St Johnstone
1 - 0
St Mirren

Kane (46')
Tanser (65'), Davidson (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

MacPherson (45+1')
MacPherson (56')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 44%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 27.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Johnstone in this match.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawSt Mirren
44%28.15%27.85%
Both teams to score 45.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.42%60.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.32%80.68%
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6%27.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.13%62.87%
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.03%37.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.26%74.74%
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 43.99%
    St Mirren 27.85%
    Draw 28.15%
St JohnstoneDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 13.46%
2-0 @ 8.72%
2-1 @ 8.44%
3-0 @ 3.76%
3-1 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.22%
4-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 43.99%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 4.09%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 10.07%
1-2 @ 6.32%
0-2 @ 4.88%
1-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 27.85%

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