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ML
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5
Sep 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Fir Park Stadium
AL

Motherwell
2 - 0
Aberdeen

van Veen (26'), Ojala (59')
van Veen (27'), Woolery (36'), O'Hara (44'), Grimshaw (72'), Watt (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ferguson (58'), McCrorie (90+1'), Brown (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
MotherwellDrawAberdeen
35.2%28.47%36.33%
Both teams to score 46.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.04%59.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.79%80.21%
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76%32.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26%68.74%
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48%31.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09%67.91%
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 35.2%
    Aberdeen 36.33%
    Draw 28.46%
MotherwellDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 11.5%
2-1 @ 7.52%
2-0 @ 6.51%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-0 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 35.2%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.16%
2-2 @ 4.34%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.46%
0-1 @ 11.73%
1-2 @ 7.67%
0-2 @ 6.77%
1-3 @ 2.95%
0-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 36.33%

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