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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 23
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
DU

St Mirren
0 - 1
Dundee Utd


Idowu (39'), Robinson (40'), Fraser (49'), Iacovitti (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moult (88')
Sevelj (65'), Ferry (73'), Moult (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 3-0 St Mirren
Sunday, January 5 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 2-0 Dundee Utd
Wednesday, January 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 1-2 Dundee United

Both teams have been struggling heading into this match, but the visitors have enjoyed this fixture in recent times, winning all of the last three meetings, and we expect that trend to continue with a Dundee Utd win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 39%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawDundee United
39% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 26.39% (0.0020000000000024 0) 34.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.76% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)51.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)73.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93% (0.0040000000000049 0)26.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.12%
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.64% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)64.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 39%
    Dundee United 34.61%
    Draw 26.39%
St MirrenDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 39%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 9.34%
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.61%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Celtic 3-0 St Mirren
Sunday, January 5 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 St Mirren
Thursday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 1-2 Dundee
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 2-1 Rangers
Thursday, December 26 at 5.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 1-2 St Mirren
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 2-3 St Mirren
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 2-0 Dundee Utd
Wednesday, January 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-1 Hearts
Sunday, January 5 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 1-2 Dundee Utd
Thursday, January 2 at 5.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-0 Aberdeen
Sunday, December 29 at 5.15pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-2 Dundee Utd
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-0 Celtic
Sunday, December 22 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership


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