Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 25.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
