Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Sabadell had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.57%) and 1-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Sabadell win was 1-0 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.