Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Albacete had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.92%) and 1-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Albacete win was 1-0 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fuenlabrada would win this match.
