Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47.92%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 1-0 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.