Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 35.54%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.02%) and 1-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-0 (13.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fuenlabrada in this match.
