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Segunda Division | Gameweek 25
Jan 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Carlos Belmonte

Albacete
2 - 0
Lugo

Dubasin (59'), Fuster (75')
Rodri (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Albacete and Lugo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Andorra 0-1 Albacete
Monday, January 23 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 1-2 Villarreal II
Sunday, January 22 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 54.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 19.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albacete would win this match.

Result
AlbaceteDrawLugo
54.23% (1.398 1.4) 26.44% (-0.288 -0.29) 19.33% (-1.109 -1.11)
Both teams to score 41.28% (-0.751 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.92% (-0.163 -0.16)61.08% (0.165 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.95% (-0.123 -0.12)81.05% (0.125 0.13)
Albacete Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.24% (0.539 0.54)22.76% (-0.537 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.55% (0.793 0.79)56.45% (-0.79 -0.79)
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.44% (-1.354 -1.35)46.56% (1.355 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.85% (-1.056 -1.06)82.15% (1.058 1.06)
Score Analysis
    Albacete 54.22%
    Lugo 19.33%
    Draw 26.43%
AlbaceteDrawLugo
1-0 @ 15.68% (0.34 0.34)
2-0 @ 11.6% (0.43 0.43)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 5.73% (0.301 0.3)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.143 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 54.22%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 10.59% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.39% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.261 -0.26)
1-2 @ 4.58% (-0.253 -0.25)
0-2 @ 3.1% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 19.33%

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Form Guide
Last Game: FC Andorra 0-1 Albacete
Monday, January 23 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Albacete 1-0 Leganes
Monday, January 16 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Huesca 1-1 Albacete
Monday, January 9 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: UD Logrones 0-0 Albacete (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Albacete 4-0 UD Ibiza
Sunday, December 18 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-2 Albacete
Sunday, December 11 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 1-2 Villarreal II
Sunday, January 22 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Mirandes 2-0 Lugo
Sunday, January 15 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Leganes 1-0 Lugo
Friday, January 6 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 1-0 Granada
Saturday, December 17 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Ponferradina 1-0 Lugo
Sunday, December 11 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 0-1 Sporting Gijon
Thursday, December 8 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division


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