SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 48.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | Lugo |
48.94% ( -1.23) | 25.88% ( 0.15) | 25.18% ( 1.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.38% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.99% ( 0.27) | 54.01% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.55% ( 0.23) | 75.44% ( -0.23) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.9% ( -0.42) | 22.09% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.55% ( -0.64) | 55.45% ( 0.64) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.38% ( 1.11) | 36.62% ( -1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.59% ( 1.1) | 73.4% ( -1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | Lugo |
| 1-0 @ 12.21% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.08% Total : 48.93% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.82% Total : 25.18% |
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