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Segunda Division | Gameweek 24
Jan 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Anxo Carro

Lugo
1 - 2
Villarreal II

Cuellar (66')
Baena (8'), Rodriguez (47'), Sene (79'), Claveria (80')
Rodriguez (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Millan (54' pen.), Whalley (67' og.)
Millan (39'), Perez (54')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Villarreal II.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mirandes 2-0 Lugo
Sunday, January 15 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 2-3 Zaragoza
Saturday, January 14 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 0-1 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
LugoDrawVillarreal II
42.15% (-0.153 -0.15) 28.56% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04) 29.29% (0.196 0.2)
Both teams to score 44.69% (0.198 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.61% (0.203 0.2)61.39% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.72% (0.152 0.15)81.28% (-0.149 -0.15)
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)28.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.37% (0.018999999999998 0.02)64.63% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Villarreal II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.75% (0.266 0.27)37.25% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.97% (0.262 0.26)74.04% (-0.25800000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Lugo 42.15%
    Villarreal II 29.28%
    Draw 28.55%
LugoDrawVillarreal II
1-0 @ 13.35% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.31% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.41% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.68% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 42.15%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 10.72% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.55%
0-1 @ 10.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.51% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.23% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 29.28%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Mirandes 2-0 Lugo
Sunday, January 15 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Leganes 1-0 Lugo
Friday, January 6 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 1-0 Granada
Saturday, December 17 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Ponferradina 1-0 Lugo
Sunday, December 11 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 0-1 Sporting Gijon
Thursday, December 8 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Lugo
Sunday, December 4 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 2-3 Zaragoza
Saturday, January 14 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Ponferradina 2-1 Villarreal II
Friday, January 6 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 0-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, December 17 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 2-2 Tenerife
Saturday, December 10 at 6pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 0-1 Villarreal II
Wednesday, December 7 at 6pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 0-0 Leganes
Saturday, December 3 at 8pm in Segunda Division


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