Segunda Division | Gameweek 24
Jan 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Anxo Carro
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Villarreal II.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 0-1 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result |
| Lugo | Draw | Villarreal II |
42.15% ( -0.15) | 28.56% ( -0.04) | 29.29% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 44.69% ( 0.2) |
| 38.61% ( 0.2) | 61.39% ( -0.2) |
| 18.72% ( 0.15) | 81.28% ( -0.15) |
| 71.22% ( 0.02) | 28.78% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.37% ( 0.02) | 64.63% ( -0.02) |
| 62.75% ( 0.27) | 37.25% ( -0.26) |
