SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 43.12%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 1-2 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Gijon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
27.4% ( -0.25) | 29.48% ( 0.14) | 43.12% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 41.42% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.02% ( -0.51) | 64.98% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.12% ( -0.36) | 83.88% ( 0.36) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.18% ( -0.5) | 40.82% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.61% ( -0.45) | 77.4% ( 0.46) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.99% ( -0.19) | 30.02% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.86% ( -0.23) | 66.14% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugo | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.29% Total : 27.4% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.48% | 0-1 @ 14.74% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.34% Total : 43.11% |
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