Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 47.46%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leganes in this match.
Result | ||
Leganes | Draw | Lugo |
47.46% ( -0.15) | 27.8% ( 0.04) | 24.74% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 43.76% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.92% ( -0.05) | 61.07% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.95% ( -0.04) | 81.05% ( 0.04) |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.13% ( -0.1) | 25.86% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.15% ( -0.13) | 60.84% ( 0.13) |
Lugo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.03% ( 0.08) | 40.96% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.47% ( 0.07) | 77.52% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Leganes | Draw | Lugo |
1-0 @ 14.32% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 47.45% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.25% Total : 24.74% |
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