Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 47.46%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 24.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leganes in this match.

Result
Leganes	Draw	Lugo
47.46% ( -0.15)	27.8% ( 0.04)	24.74% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 43.76% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.92% (

-0.05)

61.07% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.95% (

-0.04)

81.05% (

0.04)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.13% (

-0.1)

25.86% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.15% (

-0.13)

60.84% (

0.13)

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.03% (

0.08)

40.96% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.47% (

0.07)

77.52% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Leganes 47.45%

Lugo 24.74%

Draw 27.79%

Leganes	Draw	Lugo
1-0 @ 14.32% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 47.45%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.79%	0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.25% Total : 24.74%