SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 46.87%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albacete would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Albacete | Draw | Malaga |
46.87% ( -0.8) | 28.43% ( -0.14) | 24.7% ( 0.94) |
| Both teams to score 42.18% ( 1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.92% ( 0.99) | 63.08% ( -1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.47% ( 0.71) | 82.52% ( -0.71) |
| Albacete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% ( 0.06) | 27.09% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.52% ( 0.09) | 62.47% ( -0.09) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.85% ( 1.47) | 42.15% ( -1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.43% ( 1.25) | 78.57% ( -1.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albacete | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 14.91% ( -0.53) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.32)2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 46.87% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 11.41% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.41% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.13% Total : 24.7% |
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