SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 17.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Malaga |
56.35% ( 0.01) | 25.93% ( 0.13) | 17.71% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 40.12% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.76% ( -0.59) | 61.23% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.83% ( -0.44) | 81.16% ( 0.44) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.07% ( -0.24) | 21.93% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.8% ( -0.36) | 55.2% ( 0.36) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.38% ( -0.54) | 48.61% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.32% ( -0.39) | 83.67% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 16.17% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6.21% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.7% Total : 56.34% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.42% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.03% Total : 17.71% |
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