Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 43.38%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 26.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Malaga	Draw	Burgos
43.38% ( -0.02)	29.95% ( 0.02)	26.66% ( -0)

Both teams to score 39.89% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.36% (

-0.07)

66.64% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.98% (

-0.04)

85.02% (

0.05)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.29% (

-0.05)

30.71% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.04% (

-0.05)

66.96% (

0.05)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.57% (

-0.04)

42.43% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.19% (

-0.04)

78.8% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Malaga 43.38%

Burgos 26.66%

Draw 29.94%

Malaga	Draw	Burgos
1-0 @ 15.38% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.08% 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.22% Total : 43.38%	1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 13.02% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 29.94%	0-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.11% Total : 26.66%