SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 43.38%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 26.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Burgos |
43.38% ( -0.02) | 29.95% ( 0.02) | 26.66% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 39.89% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.36% ( -0.07) | 66.64% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.98% ( -0.04) | 85.02% ( 0.05) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.29% ( -0.05) | 30.71% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.04% ( -0.05) | 66.96% ( 0.05) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.57% ( -0.04) | 42.43% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.19% ( -0.04) | 78.8% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaga | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 15.38% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.08% 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.22% Total : 43.38% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 13.02% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 29.94% | 0-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 1.11% Total : 26.66% |
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