Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 42.67%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 27.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.01) 
