Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for FC Andorra had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.25%) and 2-1 (8.01%). The likeliest FC Andorra win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.02) 
