Almeria
1 - 2
Girona

Carlos Lazo (26')
Vada (33')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Saiz (4'), Stuani (84')
Saiz (27'), Garcia (33'), Izquierdo (40'), Gumbau (43'), Miquel (57')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Almeria and Girona.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.92%) and 1-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (11.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Girona
30.56%	30.03%	39.4%

Both teams to score 41.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.32%

65.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.64%

84.36%

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.36%

38.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.62%

75.38%

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.45%

32.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.92%

69.08%

Score Analysis

Almeria 30.56%

Girona 39.4%

Draw 30.03%

Almeria	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 11.95% 2-1 @ 6.38% 2-0 @ 5.69% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.58% Total : 30.56%	1-1 @ 13.42% 0-0 @ 12.57% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.03%	0-1 @ 14.11% 0-2 @ 7.92% 1-2 @ 7.53% 0-3 @ 2.96% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.71% Total : 39.4%