Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 44.58%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 26.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.