Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 42.33%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 28.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Girona in this match.
