SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 75.41%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 8.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.53%) and 3-0 (10.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Racing Club de Ferrol |
75.41% ( 0.03) | 16.32% ( 0.09) | 8.27% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 41.21% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.55% ( -0.76) | 44.45% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.18% ( -0.74) | 66.82% ( 0.75) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.91% ( -0.19) | 10.09% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.76% ( -0.44) | 33.24% ( 0.44) |
| Racing Club de Ferrol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.83% ( -0.76) | 54.17% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.62% ( -0.47) | 87.38% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almeria | Draw | Racing Club de Ferrol |
| 2-0 @ 14.37% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.31)3-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 6.3% 4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.77% Total : 75.39% | 1-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.46% Total : 16.32% | 0-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.54% Total : 8.28% |
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