SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Almeria |
36.67% ( 1.68) | 28.29% ( 0.61) | 35.04% ( -2.29) |
| Both teams to score 46.91% ( -1.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.66% ( -2.25) | 59.33% ( 2.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.27% ( -1.76) | 79.73% ( 1.76) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.01% ( -0.06) | 30.99% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.71% ( -0.08) | 67.29% ( 0.08) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.97% ( -2.56) | 32.03% ( 2.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.51% ( -3.02) | 68.49% ( 3.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaga | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.93) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.53)3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.06% Total : 36.66% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.81)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.27)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.28% | 0-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.45)0-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.37)1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.39)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.33)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.23)Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.04% |
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