Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
