Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 39%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
