SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 42.34%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 27.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Amorebieta |
| 42.34% | 29.92% | 27.73% |
| Both teams to score 40.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.85% | 66.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.31% | 84.69% |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.95% | 31.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.64% | 67.36% |
| Amorebieta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.79% | 41.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.26% | 77.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Amorebieta |
| 1-0 @ 14.96% 2-0 @ 8.75% 2-1 @ 7.76% 3-0 @ 3.41% 3-1 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.34% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 12.79% 2-2 @ 3.44% Other @ 0.42% Total : 29.91% | 0-1 @ 11.34% 1-2 @ 5.88% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.25% Total : 27.73% |
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