Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.