Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
