Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 49.44%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 21.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.11%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.
