SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.43%. A draw had a probability of 31.9% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (7.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.08%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Burgos |
43.43% ( -0.48) | 31.88% ( 0.21) | 24.69% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 34.66% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 27.67% ( -0.4) | 72.33% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.31% ( -0.24) | 88.69% ( 0.24) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.28% ( -0.5) | 33.72% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.62% ( -0.55) | 70.38% ( 0.55) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.29% ( 0.01) | 47.71% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.98% ( 0.01) | 83.02% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 17.48% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.53% Total : 43.42% | 0-0 @ 16.08% ( 0.23) 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.25% Total : 31.87% | 0-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.32% Total : 24.69% |
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