Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 47.77%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Burgos win it was 1-0 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
0.73) 
-0.91) 
