Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 36.41%. A draw had a probability of 31.9% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 31.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.39%) and 1-2 (6.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.14%), while for a Burgos win it was 1-0 (13.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Zaragoza in this match.