Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 43.01%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 25.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (7.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.89%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.