Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.64%) and 2-1 (7.14%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (12.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
