SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for FC Andorra had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest FC Andorra win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cartagena in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | FC Andorra |
42.64% ( -1.26) | 27.89% ( 0.01) | 29.47% ( 1.25) |
| Both teams to score 46.61% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.97% ( 0.48) | 59.03% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.51% ( 0.37) | 79.49% ( -0.37) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.61% ( -0.44) | 27.38% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.15% ( -0.58) | 62.85% ( 0.58) |
| FC Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.18% ( 1.26) | 35.82% ( -1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.4% ( 1.27) | 72.59% ( -1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cartagena | Draw | FC Andorra |
| 1-0 @ 12.7% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.86% Total : 42.64% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.99% Total : 29.47% |
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