SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 41.26%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 28.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 2-1 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.55%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Cartagena |
41.26% ( 0.39) | 30.53% ( -0.19) | 28.21% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 39.35% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.3% ( 0.45) | 67.71% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.26% ( 0.3) | 85.74% ( -0.3) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% ( 0.47) | 32.49% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.98% ( 0.53) | 69.02% ( -0.53) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.29% ( 0.09) | 41.71% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.82% ( 0.09) | 78.18% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 15.23% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.83% Total : 41.26% | 0-0 @ 13.55% ( -0.23) 1-1 @ 13.32% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.53% | 0-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.19% Total : 28.21% |
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