Segunda Division | Gameweek 29
Mar 2, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de El Plantio
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Burgos and Cartagena.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 41.26%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 28.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 2-1 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.55%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.
| Result |
| Burgos | Draw | Cartagena |
41.26% ( 0.39) | 30.53% ( -0.19) | 28.21% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 39.35% ( 0.34) |
| 32.3% ( 0.45) | 67.71% ( -0.45) |
| 14.26% ( 0.3) | 85.74% ( -0.3) |
| 67.51% ( 0.47) | 32.49% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.98% ( 0.53) | 69.02% ( -0.53) |
| 58.29% ( 0.09) | 41.71% ( -0.1) |
