SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 47.27%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 24.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cartagena in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | Mirandes |
47.27% ( 0.43) | 28.3% ( 0.04) | 24.43% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 42.25% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.13% ( -0.41) | 62.87% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.63% ( -0.3) | 82.37% ( 0.3) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% ( 0.03) | 26.79% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.92% ( 0.03) | 62.08% ( -0.02) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.71% ( -0.67) | 42.29% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.32% ( -0.58) | 78.68% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cartagena | Draw | Mirandes |
| 1-0 @ 14.92% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 47.27% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.12% Total : 24.43% |
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