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Segunda Division | Gameweek 30
Mar 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova

Cartagena
2 - 1
Racing de Ferrol

Poveda (33'), Munoz (56')
Musto (30'), Alcala (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pinchi (11')
Delgado (14'), Gimenez (35'), Justo (90+3'), Merino (90+4')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Racing Club de Ferrol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burgos 3-0 Cartagena
Saturday, March 2 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 2-2 Racing
Saturday, March 2 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest Racing Club de Ferrol win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.

Result
CartagenaDrawRacing Club de Ferrol
43.14% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 28.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 28.46% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.73% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.86% (0.033000000000001 0.03)61.14% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.9% (0.024000000000001 0.02)81.09% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.2% (0.00099999999999767 0)63.79% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Racing Club de Ferrol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.23% (0.044000000000004 0.04)37.77% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.45% (0.042000000000002 0.04)74.54% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 43.14%
    Racing Club de Ferrol 28.46%
    Draw 28.39%
CartagenaDrawRacing Club de Ferrol
1-0 @ 13.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 3.62% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 43.14%
1-1 @ 13.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.39%
0-1 @ 10.34%
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 28.46%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Burgos 3-0 Cartagena
Saturday, March 2 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 0-1 Elche
Sunday, February 25 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 1-2 Cartagena
Friday, February 16 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 1-0 Mirandes
Sunday, February 11 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Albacete 1-1 Cartagena
Saturday, February 3 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 1-0 Amorebieta
Saturday, January 27 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 2-2 Racing
Saturday, March 2 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Eldense 2-0 Racing de Ferrol
Sunday, February 25 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 0-0 Levante
Sunday, February 18 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 2-0 Racing de Ferrol
Sunday, February 11 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 1-1 Eibar
Sunday, February 4 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Sporting Gijon 1-2 Racing de Ferrol
Sunday, January 28 at 8pm in Segunda Division


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