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Segunda Division | Gameweek 1
Sep 13, 2020 at 5.15pm UK
Estadio Fernando Torres

Fuenlabrada
2 - 0
Lugo

Awudu (65'), Nteka (70')
Ciss (1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Barreiro (13'), Rama (20'), Gonzalez (38')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Fuenlabrada and Lugo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 42.99%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 26.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.58%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fuenlabrada would win this match.

Result
FuenlabradaDrawLugo
42.99%31%26.01%
Both teams to score 37.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.31%69.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.96%87.04%
Fuenlabrada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.47%32.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93%69.07%
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.17%44.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.2%80.8%
Score Analysis
    Fuenlabrada 42.98%
    Lugo 26.01%
    Draw 30.98%
FuenlabradaDrawLugo
1-0 @ 16.37%
2-0 @ 9.2%
2-1 @ 7.38%
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-1 @ 2.76%
3-2 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 42.98%
0-0 @ 14.58%
1-1 @ 13.13%
2-2 @ 2.96%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 30.98%
0-1 @ 11.7%
1-2 @ 5.27%
0-2 @ 4.69%
1-3 @ 1.41%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 26.01%


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