Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 38.08%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 30.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.76%) and 2-1 (7.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.15%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.