SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Lugo win was 1-0 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | Almeria |
| 32.8% | 29.6% | 37.59% |
| Both teams to score 43.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.03% | 63.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.84% | 83.16% |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.99% | 36.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.21% | 72.79% |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.22% | 32.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.66% | 69.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugo | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% 2-1 @ 6.87% 2-0 @ 6.16% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 2.1% 3-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.99% Total : 32.8% | 1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.8% 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.59% | 0-1 @ 13.16% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 7.34% 1-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.64% Total : 37.59% |
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