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Segunda Division | Gameweek 3
Sep 27, 2020 at 11am UK
Estadio Anxo Carro
A

Lugo
0 - 2
Almeria

 
FT(HT: 0-2)
Akieme (8'), Aketxe (12')
Almeida Costa (26'), Akieme (49'), Carlos Lazo (71')
Akieme (58')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Almeria.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Lugo win was 1-0 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
LugoDrawAlmeria
32.8%29.6%37.59%
Both teams to score 43.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.03%63.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.84%83.16%
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99%36.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21%72.79%
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22%32.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66%69.34%
Score Analysis
    Lugo 32.8%
    Almeria 37.59%
    Draw 29.59%
LugoDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 12.05%
2-1 @ 6.87%
2-0 @ 6.16%
3-1 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 2.1%
3-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 32.8%
1-1 @ 13.44%
0-0 @ 11.8%
2-2 @ 3.83%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.59%
0-1 @ 13.16%
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-2 @ 7.34%
1-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 2.73%
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 37.59%


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