SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 43.16%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 27.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 1-2 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | Leganes |
| 27.85% | 28.99% | 43.16% |
| Both teams to score 42.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.7% | 63.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.32% | 82.68% |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.52% | 39.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.82% | 76.18% |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.85% | 29.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.91% | 65.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugo | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 6.13% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.54% 3-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.45% Total : 27.84% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.98% | 0-1 @ 14.18% 0-2 @ 8.74% 1-2 @ 8.13% 0-3 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 1.11% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.49% Total : 43.15% |
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