SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | UD Ibiza |
53.45% ( -1.37) | 24.74% ( 0.61) | 21.81% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 49.06% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.42% ( -1.55) | 52.58% ( 1.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.77% ( -1.35) | 74.23% ( 1.35) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.37% ( -1.12) | 19.63% ( 1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.41% ( -1.86) | 51.59% ( 1.87) |
| UD Ibiza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.04% ( -0.11) | 38.96% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.32% ( -0.11) | 75.68% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cartagena | Draw | UD Ibiza |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 10.13% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.83% Total : 53.44% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.45% Total : 21.81% |
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