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Segunda Division | Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2022 at 8pm UK
 

UD Ibiza
3 - 2
Lugo

Herrera (7', 58'), Nolito (43')
Camara (36'), Nolito (38'), Morante (49')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Juanpe (38' pen.), Baena (90+2')
Juanpe (6'), Sene (39')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between UD Ibiza and Lugo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Gijon 2-1 UD Ibiza
Friday, September 23 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 0-0 Real Oviedo
Sunday, September 25 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 48.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that UD Ibiza would win this match.

Result
UD IbizaDrawLugo
48.61% (0.0010000000000048 0) 27.63%23.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 43.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)61.18% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)81.13% (0.0010000000000048 0)
UD Ibiza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)25.36% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)60.15% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.05% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)41.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.6% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)78.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    UD Ibiza 48.6%
    Lugo 23.75%
    Draw 27.62%
UD IbizaDrawLugo
1-0 @ 14.59%
2-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 8.7%
3-0 @ 4.58%
3-1 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.57%
4-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 48.6%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 10.63%
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 9.24%
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.6%
0-3 @ 1.16%
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 23.75%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sporting Gijon 2-1 UD Ibiza
Friday, September 23 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Real Oviedo 0-1 UD Ibiza
Saturday, September 17 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: UD Ibiza 1-0 Tenerife
Sunday, September 11 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Huesca 3-0 UD Ibiza
Sunday, September 4 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: UD Ibiza 1-1 Alaves
Sunday, August 28 at 9pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Ponferradina 2-1 UD Ibiza
Monday, August 22 at 7pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 0-0 Real Oviedo
Sunday, September 25 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 3-1 Lugo
Saturday, September 17 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 1-2 Alaves
Saturday, September 10 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 1-2 Lugo
Sunday, September 4 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 1-0 Leganes
Saturday, August 27 at 6.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Tenerife 1-1 Lugo
Sunday, August 21 at 9pm in Segunda Division


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