Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that UD Ibiza would win this match.
